Russian escalation would be whatsapp phone number list limited to blackmailing Ukraine and not turn into an armed conflict. And that if the situation turned into a war, it would be considered merely a "special operation" (as the Russians whatsapp phone number list call it) and the Ukraine would fall quickly and without much bloodshed. Lukashenko would have been quite satisfied with a permanent balance on the brink of war. This would perhaps be an ideal form of existence for the Belarusian regime in its current state, which explains why the whatsapp phone number list authorities so enthusiastically fomented military hysteria in late January and early.
February even though whatsapp phone number list a real war was apparently not within. of Lukashenko's plans. Macron's attempt After Russia's invasion of Ukraine from Belarusian territory, some analysts asked: can Belarus now be considered a sovereign power? Is Lukashenko capable of making decisions independently or is whatsapp phone number list he under full control of Putin? Lukashenko himself repeatedly gives reasons for these concerns, when he refers to the Kremlin's opinion whenever he makes public comments on some fundamental issue, be it the deployment of Russian troops in Belarus or participation in the war. During the visit to Moscow on February 18 he even promised to consult with his "Elder Brother whatsapp phone number list of his" (Russia) about his political future.
Meanwhile, on February whatsapp phone number list 26, French President Emmanuel Macron held a telephone conversation with Lukashenko to demand the withdrawal of Russian troops from Belarus and to urge Minsk to abandon whatsapp phone number list subordination to Moscow and stop helping him in the war against Ukraine. . In another situation, Lukashenko would have taken advantage of the attention he has aroused in the West to take advantage of his confrontation with Russia and obtain concessions on the issue of sanctions whatsapp phone number list against his country.